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기후변화가 국내 목재시장에 미치는 영향 분석Simulations of the Effects of Climate Change on the Timber Markets
- Other Titles
- Simulations of the Effects of Climate Change on the Timber Markets
- Issue Date
- 2009
- Keywords
- 기후변화; 균형대체모형; 목재시장; climate change; equilibrium displacement model; timber market; climate change; equilibrium displacement model; timber market
- Citation
- 농촌경제, v.32, no.5, pp 109 - 131
- Pages
- 23
- Indexed
- KCI
- Journal Title
- 농촌경제
- Volume
- 32
- Number
- 5
- Start Page
- 109
- End Page
- 131
- ISSN
- 1229-8263
2713-9506
- Abstract
- The objective of this paper is to assess the impacts of climate changes on the coniferous and broadleaf timber markets. In order to assess these impacts, an equilibrium displacement model is developed in this paper. The substitution between imported and domestically produced timber is considered and several scenarios regarding the changes in timber production caused by climate changes are reflected in the model. Simulation results indicate that climate changes will result in a small decrease in the quantity of timber that is domestically produced and relatively large increase in the equilibrium price. These results imply that climate changes have a positive influence on the total revenue of domestic timber production.
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Collections - 농업생명과학대학 > 환경산림과학부 > Journal Articles
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