암소발정탐지기술 도입이 한우 산업에 미치는 영향

Abstract

This paper analyses the effect of ICT technology of cow estrus detection which is necessary for Hanwoo breeding, on the number of calf-birth, market supply and demand, and farm household income. The results are as follows. The number of calf-birth increased by 2.3~11.3% after introducing ICT technology, the number of breeding heads increased by 2.8~13.8%, and the number of slaughter increased by 1.7~9.0% according to scenarios in 2025. Increased supply lowered male wholesale prices by 2.2~11.1% in 2025. Adopting new ICT technology incurred more price fall than sales increase which may lower farm income. However, considering cost decrease incurred by the new technology increases farm income by 2.7~9.8% in 2025. The adoption of smart-farm will not only increase production efficiency but also contribute to enlarge farm scale in the long term. However, there are various difficulties such as uncertainty of investment performance, difficulty for applying to small farms, and lack of standardization of smart farm devices. In particular, the government should pay attention to the industrial economic effects resulting from technology development.