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Cited 2 time in webofscience Cited 4 time in scopus
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CLIMEX simulated predictions of the potential distribution of Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel) (Diptera: Tephritidae) considering the northern boundary: With special emphasis on Jeju, Korea

Authors
Kim, Su BinPark, Jung-JoonKim, Dong-Soon
Issue Date
Aug-2020
Publisher
KOREAN SOC APPLIED ENTOMOLOGY
Keywords
Population establishment; Cold mortality; Model prediction; Invasive pests; Climate change
Citation
JOURNAL OF ASIA-PACIFIC ENTOMOLOGY, v.23, no.3, pp 797 - 808
Pages
12
Indexed
SCIE
SCOPUS
KCI
Journal Title
JOURNAL OF ASIA-PACIFIC ENTOMOLOGY
Volume
23
Number
3
Start Page
797
End Page
808
URI
https://scholarworks.gnu.ac.kr/handle/sw.gnu/6350
DOI
10.1016/j.aspen.2020.07.006
ISSN
1226-8615
1876-7990
Abstract
The global climate change has led to the distribution of Bactrocera dorsalis from its origin in Southeast Asia to mainland China, which is situated at latitudes similar to Jeju Island, South Korea. In order to evaluate the establishment of B. dorsalis in Korea, it is necessary to determine the climate suitability. When the parameters of CLIMEX model were adjusted to include Wuhan region in China as the northern limit, the model outputs explained well the distribution and occurrence characteristics (namely the annual number of generations) of B. dorsalis in major distribution regions in the world. In IPCC/RCP 8.5 scenario, the establishment of B. dorsalis was suitable to a small part of Jeju Island in the 2010s. The range might gradually spread until the 2090s, with many parts of the lowlands of Jeju Island being marginal to optimal in suitability. The present CLIMEX model with parameters that adjusted to known northern limit will be useful for annual risk mapping to facilitate a monitoring system for early detection of a possible founder population of B. dorsalis in Jeju, South Korea.
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농업생명과학대학 (식물의학과)
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