이사계획이 있는 공공임대주택 거주자의 자가전환 의향 결정요인 분석 - 서울시 공공임대주택을 중심으로 -

초록

This study analyzes the determinants of homeownership transition intentions among public rental housing residents in Seoul who plan to move within the next five years, using data from the 2021 Seoul Public Rental Housing Panel Survey. A binomial logistic regression model was employed to examine the factors influencing residents’ intentions to transition to homeownership. The results show that 42.2% of residents with moving plans expressed an intention to become homeowners, a proportion higher than that typically observed among general renter households. Among individual characteristics, higher educational attainment, longer residence duration, and a larger household size were associated with a greater likelihood of intending to transition to homeownership. Regarding physical characteristics, living in a mixed-tenure complex significantly increased the likelihood of homeownership intention, whereas residing in Gangnam-gu, Seocho-gu, or Songpa-gu reduced it. In terms of social characteristics, experiences of discrimination and conflicts with neighbors were found to significantly increase residents’ intentions to pursue homeownership. These findings provide empirical evidence that can inform policy measures aimed at strengthening the role of public rental housing as a stepping stone to homeownership.

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