항공기 제조산업 미래사회 전망을 위한 통합분석체계 설계 연구(I): 메가트렌드 분석 기반으로

초록

This study designs and applies a megatrend-based integrated analytical framework to forecast the future outlook of the aircraft manufacturing industry. The global aviation sector is experiencing a structural shift toward a complex system where policies, industrial structures, and social acceptance are interconnected, driven by carbon neutrality, digital transformation, and autonomous technologies. This research establishes an integrated framework combining megatrend analysis from domestic and international foresight reports with STEEP (Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental, and Political) analysis. The study identifies nine core megatrends, including demographic shifts, digital convergence, and eco-friendly transitions, and systematizes future industrial needs accordingly. By defining the structural alignment between macro-environmental changes and industrial demands, this study provides a methodological foundation for deriving core technologies and establishing long-term strategic roadmaps for the aircraft manufacturing industry. This research also serves as a preliminary phase for future studies on technology prioritization and strategic evaluation.

키워드