ScholarWorks@경상국립대학교

초록

Accurate estimation of biomass higher heating value (HHV) is crucial for designing efficient bioenergy systems. In this study, we developed a Backpropagation artificial neural network (ANN) that predicts HHV from routine proximate/ultimate composition data. The network (9-6-6-1 architecture, trained for 15,000 epochs with learning rate 0.3 and momentum 0.4) was calibrated on 99 diverse Spanish biomass samples (inputs: moisture, ash, volatile matter, fixed carbon, C, H, O, N, S). The optimized ANN achieved strong predictive accuracy (validation R2 approximate to 0.81; mean squared error approximate to 1.33 MJ/kg; MAE approximate to 0.77 MJ/kg), representing a substantial improvement over 54 analytical models despite the known complexity and variability of biomass composition. Importantly, in direct comparisons it significantly outperformed 54 published analytical HHV correlations-the ANN achieved substantially higher R2 and lower prediction error than any fixed-form formula in the literature. A sensitivity analysis confirmed chemically intuitive trends (higher C/H/FC increase HHV; higher moisture/ash/O reduce it), indicating the model learned meaningful fuel-property relationships. The ANN thus provided a computationally efficient and robust tool for rapid, accurate HHV estimation from compositional data. Future work will expand the dataset, incorporate thermal pretreatment effects, and integrate the model into a user-friendly decision-support platform for bioenergy applications.

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