몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 확률론적 공기 예측 모듈 개발에 관한 연구

A Study on the Development of Probabilistic Duration Estimation Module Using Monte Carlo Simulation
  • 박재현; 
  • 최현상; 
  • 조용; 
  • 방광수; 
  • 윤석헌; 
  • 외 1명

초록

The purpose of this study is to suggest duration estimation methods using "Monte Carlo Simulation" and develop duration estimation module. During construction period, a lot of uncertain factors are existed and they usually delayed construction duration. Because of that reason, these days construction management has been more important than before to control uncertain factors in construction projects. So in this study duration estimation method is proposed which improved previous method and developed duration estimation module. Duration estimation module developed with current scheduling program MS Project as an Add-on function. This module valuated with two cases, their result is enough to prove confidence of this study. However, this module has just developed Reinforced Concrete Structure and has to do more development and research.

키워드

몬테카를로 시뮬레이션; 확률론적 분석; 공기 예측; 공기 예측 모듈; Monte Carlo Simulation; Probabilistic Analysis; Duration Estimation; Duration Estimation Module
제목
몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 확률론적 공기 예측 모듈 개발에 관한 연구
제목 (타언어)
A Study on the Development of Probabilistic Duration Estimation Module Using Monte Carlo Simulation
저자
박재현; 최현상; 조용; 방광수; 윤석헌; 백준홍
발행일
2010
저널명
대한건축학회논문집 구조계
권
26
호
05
페이지
101 ~ 108