청년을 지역에 머물게 하는 것은 무엇인가? 창업생태계 인식, 정책신뢰, 그리고 회복탄력성의 역할

초록

This study examined how the institutional arrangements (startup policy) and resource endowments (startup infrastructure) of a regional entrepreneurial ecosystem relate to university students' regional settlement intention through policy trust, and explored the moderated mediation role of resilience in this process. Using data from the 2025 K-Entrepreneurship Index Survey, the analysis drew on 488 university students across three regions (Gyeongnam, the Capital area, and Chungcheong·Honam), applying PROCESS Macro v4.2 Model 14 with 5,000 bootstrap resamples. The results were as follows. First, both startup policy (β=.529, p<.001) and startup infrastructure (β=.579, p<.001) had a significant positive effect on policy trust. Second, policy trust significantly partially mediated the relationship between regional settlement intention and both startup policy (indirect effect=.216, 95% CI [.073, .312]) and startup infrastructure (indirect effect=.166, 95% CI [.041, .304]). Third, resilience significantly moderated the b-path between policy trust and regional settlement intention in the infrastructure model (β=.054, p=.033); the indirect effect of startup infrastructure on settlement intention via policy trust was significant among students with above-average resilience. This study contributes theoretically by being the first to empirically demonstrate the differential association of an entrepreneurial ecosystem-distinguished into institutional arrangements and resource endowments-with regional settlement intention, and by identifying a psychological mediating pathway operating through policy trust. It also offers the practical implication that, among individuals with higher resilience, trust in startup infrastructure is more strongly linked to the intention to settle in a region.

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