HSPF 모형을 이용한 산청 유역의 소유역별 축산비점오염부하량 비중 분석

Abstract

The objective of this study was to assess the livestock nonpoint source pollutant impact on water quality in Namgang dam watershed using the HSPF(Hydrological Simulation Program–Fortran) model. The input data for the HSPF model was established using the landcover, digital elevation, andwatershed and river maps. In order to apply the pollutant load to the HSPF model, the delivery load of the livestock nonpoint source in the Namgangdam watershed was calculated and used as a point pollutant input data for the HSPF model. The hydrologic and water quality parameters of HSPFmodel were calibrated and validated using the observed runoff data from 2007 to 2015 at Sancheong station. The R2 (Determination Coefficient), RMSE(Root Mean Square Error), NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient), and RMAE (Relative Mean Absolute Error) were used to evaluate the modelperformance. The simulation results for annual mean runoff showed that R2 ranged 0.79∼0.81, RMSE 1.91∼2.73 mm/day, NSE 0.7∼0.71 and RMAE0.37∼0.49 mm/day for daily runoff. The simulation results for annual mean BOD for RMSE ranged 0.99∼1.13 mg/L and RMAE 0.49∼0.55 mg/L,annual mean TN for RMSE ranged 1.65∼1.72 mg/L and RMAE 0.55 mg/L, and annual mean TP for RMSE ranged 0.043∼0.055 mg/L and RMAE0.552∼0.570 mg/L. As a result of livestock nonpoint pollutant loading simulation for each sub-watersehd using the HSPF model, the BOD ranged16.6∼163 kg/day, TN ranged 27.5∼337 kg/day, TP ranged 1.22∼14.1 kg/day.